Insights & Analysis
The MedMalPredict Blog
Expert perspectives on medical malpractice litigation, settlement strategy, and AI-powered case analysis.
October 14, 2026
What Makes the Hooper Engine Different
Anyone can average past payouts. The Hooper Engine does something much harder: it blends multiple data sources, runs an ensemble of models that check each other, and normalizes for how payouts actually grow state by state. Here is what makes it different, and why it is more sophisticated than what an analyst would deliver.
Read more →October 7, 2026
The Case for Settling Early (and the Case Against)
Settling early trades a smaller, surer number for the cost and risk of litigation. Sometimes that trade is smart. Sometimes the case's real value is in the tail you would be giving away. The distribution tells you which. Here is how to read it before you decide.
Read more →September 30, 2026
Pricing Malpractice Risk Before the Claim
Risk managers price exposure across a whole book of claims, not one case at a time, and malpractice data reads differently at that scale. The most expensive cases are often the ones your review process pays least attention to. Here is where portfolio-level exposure actually hides.
Read more →September 23, 2026
Why "What's My Case Worth?" Is the Wrong Question
Ask what a case is worth and you get a single number. That number hides the two things that actually decide the outcome: how often a case like this pays at all, and how widely the payouts spread. Here is the better question, and why the answer you want is a range.
Read more →September 16, 2026
When the Other Side Has the Data and You Don't
Case valuation used to be everyone's guess. It is becoming the side with the data against the side without it. If the other party has run the numbers and you have not, the information gap is theirs to use. Here is what that costs, and why "we have always done it by feel" is wearing thin.
Read more →September 9, 2026
How Data-Backed Predictions Level the Playing Field for Small Firms
Large firms value cases against thousands of prior matters. A solo attorney has memory and a few old files. That gap decides which cases get taken and which injured patients get turned away. Shared data narrows it.
Read more →September 2, 2026
Payment Probability and Expected Value: How to Combine Them at Intake
A high payout means nothing if the case rarely pays. A high chance of payment means nothing if the payout is small. Intake decisions need both numbers multiplied together, not weighed separately. Here is the simple math, and the trap it helps you avoid.
Read more →August 26, 2026
How to Read a MedMalPredict Report
A MedMalPredict report is seven pages of case intelligence, not a single number. This walks you through each section: the three-part payment page, the human-factors adjustment, the contextual benchmarks, the outcome-severity distributions, and the drivers behind the prediction.
Read more →July 22, 2026
What Defense Attorneys Get Wrong at Mediation
Defense counsel walk into mediation with a number: a reserve set months or years ago, adjusted for what has happened since, sanity-checked against a handful of past cases. It is usually the most consequential input in the room, and the least examined. Here are five benchmarking mistakes the historical data exposes.
Read more →July 18, 2026
How AI Predicts Medical Malpractice Outcomes
Learn how AI uses historical malpractice cases to predict payment probability, payout ranges, and outcome severity, and why it outperforms human intuition in case valuation.
Read more →April 25, 2026
Medical Malpractice Payouts Are Rising. Here's What the Recent Data Actually Shows
Medical professional liability reached $151,768 in occurrence severity per open claim in accident year 2018. That figure, the highest across every casualty insurance line, is the real story underneath a wave of headlines about the rising cost of malpractice claims.
Read more →March 29, 2026
5 Things the Data Says About Medical Malpractice That Will Surprise You
Medical malpractice is a field built on instinct, experience, and pattern recognition. Attorneys develop gut feelings about what a case is worth. Adjusters calibrate reserves based on years of handling similar claims. Experts give opinions shaped by their own professional histories.
Read more →March 22, 2026
Average Medical Malpractice Payouts by State: What the Data Actually Shows
The "average" medical malpractice payout in the United States is $455,724. That number is almost useless. Not because it is wrong, but because it papers over a reality that anyone who works in med mal already knows: where a case happens matters enormously.
Read more →